Monday · August 17 · 6:05 pm ✦
ORIOLES @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
Orioles
6
RAYS
7
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–4 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 6–7 Rays
60%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 31% | 69% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 38% | 62% | 2–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 29% | 71% | 2–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 59% | 41% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games