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Sunday · August 16 · 12:15 PM ✦

ORIOLES @ RAYS

Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none

Final

ORIOLES 10
Rays 2

Our Pick

BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 10–2 Orioles

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Orioles Rays Projected Result
Baseline Tampa Bay Rays 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Baltimore Orioles 55% 45% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 49% 51% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Baltimore Orioles 53% 47% 3–3
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 48% 52%
Random Forest Baltimore Orioles 60% 40%
Consensus Baltimore Orioles 51% 49% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Orioles this season

67–53

56% across 120 games

Rays this season

61–60

50% across 121 games