Saturday · August 15 · 6:10 pm ✦
ORIOLES @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none
Final
ORIOLES
4
Rays
3
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 4–3 Orioles
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 46% | 54% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 39% | 61% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games