Friday · August 14 · 7:10 pm ✦
ORIOLES @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
ORIOLES
6
Rays
5
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–4 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 6–5 Orioles
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 43% | 57% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 45% | 55% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 51% | 49% | 4–4 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games