← Back to the recap

Saturday · July 25 · 6:10 pm ✦

GUARDIANS @ RAYS

Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none

Final

Guardians 0
RAYS 3

Our Pick

TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–4 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 0–3 Rays

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians Rays Projected Result
Baseline Tampa Bay Rays 40% 60% 4–4 ✓
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 51% 49% 4–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 33% 67% 3–4 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Tampa Bay Rays 45% 55% 3–4 ✓
Logistic Cleveland Guardians 56% 44% — ✗
Random Forest Tampa Bay Rays 50% 50% — ✓
Consensus Tampa Bay Rays 46% 54% 3–4 ✓
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

78–81

49% across 159 games

Rays this season

78–80

49% across 158 games