Tuesday · July 28 · 6:40 pm ✦
RANGERS @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
RANGERS
4
Rays
1
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–4 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 4–1 Rangers
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Rangers | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 45% | 55% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Texas Rangers | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 45% | 55% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 45% | 55% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 48% | 52% | 4–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Rangers this season
68–55
55% across 123 games
Rays this season
61–61
50% across 122 games