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Sunday · July 26 · 12:15 PM ✦

GUARDIANS @ RAYS

Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none

Final

Guardians 0
RAYS 1

Our Pick

CLEVELAND GUARDIANS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Cleveland Guardians · Actual: 0–1 Rays

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Guardians Rays Projected Result
Baseline Cleveland Guardians 67% 33% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Cleveland Guardians 53% 47% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Cleveland Guardians 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Cleveland Guardians 60% 40% 3–2
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 46% 54%
Random Forest Cleveland Guardians 50% 50%
Consensus Cleveland Guardians 56% 44% 4–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Guardians this season

61–62

50% across 123 games

Rays this season

61–61

50% across 122 games