Sunday · July 12 · 1:40 PM ✦
MARINERS @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
MARINERS
8
Rays
2
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 8–2 Mariners
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mariners | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Seattle Mariners | 56% | 44% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 40% | 60% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Seattle Mariners | 61% | 39% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 48% | 52% | 3–4 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher + Platoon and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games