Friday · July 24 · 7:10 pm ✦
GUARDIANS @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
Guardians
3
RAYS
11
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 3–11 Rays
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Guardians | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cleveland Guardians | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cleveland Guardians | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 46% | 54% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cleveland Guardians | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 48% | 52% | 3–3 | ✓ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Guardians this season
78–81
49% across 159 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games