Saturday · July 11 · 4:35 PM ✦
MARINERS @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
Mariners
1
RAYS
6
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 1–6 Rays
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mariners | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 67% | 33% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Seattle Mariners | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 56% | 44% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 38% | 62% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 55% | 45% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mariners this season
87–67
56% across 154 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games