Friday · July 10 · 7:10 pm ✦
MARINERS @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
Mariners
2
RAYS
7
Our Pick
SEATTLE MARINERS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Seattle Mariners · Actual: 2–7 Rays
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Mariners | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 42% | 58% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 62% | 38% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Seattle Mariners | 53% | 47% | 4–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Seattle Mariners | 52% | 48% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Seattle Mariners | 51% | 49% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Seattle Mariners | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Mariners this season
76–47
62% across 123 games
Rays this season
61–62
50% across 123 games