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Tuesday · July 7 · 6:40 pm ✦

YANKEES @ RAYS

Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none

Final

Yankees 4
RAYS 6

Our Pick

TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 4–6 Rays

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Rays Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 53% 47% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 47% 53% 3–3
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 56% 44% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Tampa Bay Rays 44% 56% 3–4
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 42% 58%
Random Forest New York Yankees 54% 46%
Consensus Tampa Bay Rays 49% 51% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

44–41

52% across 85 games

Rays this season

41–41

50% across 82 games