Back to the recap

Wednesday · July 8 · 6:40 pm ✦

YANKEES @ RAYS

Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none

Final

Yankees 0
RAYS 3

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 New York Yankees · Actual: 0–3 Rays

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Rays Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 53% 47% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 55% 45% 3–3
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 62% 38% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 64% 36% 3–3
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 49% 51%
Random Forest Tampa Bay Rays 47% 53%
Consensus New York Yankees 55% 45% 3–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

65–58

53% across 123 games

Rays this season

61–62

50% across 123 games