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Monday · July 6 · 6:40 pm ✦

YANKEES @ RAYS

Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none

Final

YANKEES 5
Rays 1

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES

✓ Correct

Projected: 4–3 New York Yankees · Actual: 5–1 Yankees

56%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Rays Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 56% 44% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 58% 42% 4–3
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 62% 38% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 60% 40% 4–4
Logistic New York Yankees 53% 47%
Random Forest Tampa Bay Rays 37% 63%
Consensus New York Yankees 56% 44% 4–3
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

44–41

52% across 85 games

Rays this season

41–41

50% across 82 games