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Thursday · June 25 · 12:10 PM ✦

ROYALS @ RAYS

Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none

Final

Royals 2
RAYS 13

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 2–13 Rays

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Rays Projected Result
Baseline Tampa Bay Rays 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Kansas City Royals 51% 49% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 60% 40% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 55% 45% 4–3
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 47% 53%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 65% 35%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 53% 47% 3–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

42–43

49% across 85 games

Rays this season

41–41

50% across 82 games