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Friday · June 26 · 7:10 pm ✦

D-BACKS @ RAYS

Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none

Final

D-backs 1
RAYS 6

Our Pick

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Arizona Diamondbacks · Actual: 1–6 Rays

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick D-backs Rays Projected Result
Baseline Arizona Diamondbacks 56% 44% 4–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 71% 29% 5–3 ✗
Platoon-weighted Arizona Diamondbacks 53% 47% 3–3 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon Arizona Diamondbacks 55% 45% 4–3 ✗
Logistic Arizona Diamondbacks 51% 49% — ✗
Random Forest Tampa Bay Rays 44% 56% — ✓
Consensus Arizona Diamondbacks 55% 45% 4–3 ✗
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

D-backs this season

79–76

51% across 155 games

Rays this season

78–80

49% across 158 games