Tuesday · June 23 · 6:40 pm ✦
ROYALS @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
ROYALS
12
Rays
5
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–4 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 12–5 Royals
58%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Royals | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 40% | 60% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 29% | 71% | 2–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 43% | 57% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Kansas City Royals | 61% | 39% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Royals this season
43–43
50% across 86 games
Rays this season
41–42
49% across 83 games