Monday · June 22 · 6:40 pm ✦
ROYALS @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
ROYALS
2
Rays
1
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 2–1 Royals
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Royals | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Kansas City Royals | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 33% | 67% | 2–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Kansas City Royals | 57% | 43% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Kansas City Royals | 52% | 48% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Royals this season
43–43
50% across 86 games
Rays this season
41–42
49% across 83 games