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Wednesday · June 24 · 6:40 pm ✦

ROYALS @ RAYS

Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none

Final

Royals 3
RAYS 5

Our Pick

KANSAS CITY ROYALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Kansas City Royals · Actual: 3–5 Rays

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Royals Rays Projected Result
Baseline Kansas City Royals 53% 47% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 44% 56% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Kansas City Royals 58% 42% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Kansas City Royals 62% 38% 4–3
Logistic Kansas City Royals 52% 48%
Random Forest Kansas City Royals 61% 39%
Consensus Kansas City Royals 54% 46% 3–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Royals this season

42–43

49% across 85 games

Rays this season

41–41

50% across 82 games