Friday · June 19 · 7:10 pm ✦
NATIONALS @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
Nationals
2
RAYS
5
Our Pick
WASHINGTON NATIONALS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 2–5 Rays
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Washington Nationals | 62% | 38% | 3–2 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 58% | 42% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 60% | 40% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 66% | 34% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Washington Nationals | 56% | 44% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games