Saturday · June 20 · 4:11 PM ✦
NATIONALS @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
NATIONALS
4
Rays
3
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 4–3 Nationals
55%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 41% | 59% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 62% | 38% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
46–41
53% across 87 games
Rays this season
41–42
49% across 83 games