Sunday · June 21 · 1:40 PM ✦
NATIONALS @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
Nationals
3
RAYS
4
Our Pick
WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 3–4 Rays
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Washington Nationals | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Washington Nationals | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 55% | 45% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Washington Nationals | 54% | 46% | 3–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games