Tuesday · June 9 · 6:40 pm ✦
RED SOX @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
Red Sox
3
RAYS
4
Our Pick
BOSTON RED SOX, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Boston Red Sox · Actual: 3–4 Rays
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Red Sox | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Boston Red Sox | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Boston Red Sox | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Boston Red Sox | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Boston Red Sox | 52% | 48% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Boston Red Sox | 51% | 49% | 3–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Pitcher + Platoon caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Red Sox this season
52–32
62% across 84 games
Rays this season
41–42
49% across 83 games