Back to the recap

Wednesday · June 10 · 1:10 PM ✦

RED SOX @ RAYS

Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none

Final

Red Sox 5
RAYS 7

Our Pick

TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 5–7 Rays

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Rays Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 58% 42% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 31% 69% 2–4
Platoon-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon Tampa Bay Rays 33% 67% 3–3
Logistic Boston Red Sox 50% 50%
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 66% 34%
Consensus Tampa Bay Rays 46% 54% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

52–32

62% across 84 games

Rays this season

41–42

49% across 83 games