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Monday · June 8 · 6:40 pm ✦

RED SOX @ RAYS

Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none

Final

Red Sox 1
RAYS 3

Our Pick

TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 1–3 Rays

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Red Sox Rays Projected Result
Baseline Boston Red Sox 51% 49% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Boston Red Sox 53% 47% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Tampa Bay Rays 49% 51% 3–3
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 44% 56%
Random Forest Boston Red Sox 60% 40%
Consensus Tampa Bay Rays 50% 50% 3–3
3 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Red Sox this season

52–32

62% across 84 games

Rays this season

41–42

49% across 83 games