Back to the recap

Saturday · May 30 ✦

ANGELS @ RAYS

Tropicana Field.

Final

ANGELS 14
Rays 3

Our Pick

TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 14–3 Angels

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Angels Rays Projected Result
Baseline Tampa Bay Rays 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Los Angeles Angels 53% 47% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 47% 53% 3–3
Pitcher + Platoon Tampa Bay Rays 40% 60% 2–3
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 46% 54%
Random Forest Los Angeles Angels 57% 43%
Consensus Tampa Bay Rays 48% 52% 3–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Pitcher-weighted and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Angels this season

53–33

62% across 86 games

Rays this season

42–42

50% across 84 games