Tuesday · May 19 ✦
ORIOLES @ RAYS
Tropicana Field.
Final
Orioles
1
RAYS
4
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 1–4 Rays
58%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 65% | 35% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 62% | 38% | 4–2 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 67% | 33% | 5–2 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 56% | 44% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 41% | 59% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 70% | 30% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games