Monday · May 18 · 6:40 PM ✦
ORIOLES @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
Orioles
6
RAYS
16
Our Pick
BALTIMORE ORIOLES
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Baltimore Orioles · Actual: 6–16 Rays
63%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Orioles | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Baltimore Orioles | 71% | 29% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 69% | 31% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Baltimore Orioles | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Baltimore Orioles | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Baltimore Orioles | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Baltimore Orioles | 67% | 33% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Baltimore Orioles | 63% | 37% | 4–3 | ✗ |
None of the 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Orioles this season
81–72
53% across 153 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games