Sunday · May 17 · 12:15 PM ✦
MARLINS @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
Marlins
3
RAYS
6
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS
✓ CorrectProjected: 2–3 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 3–6 Rays
58%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 44% | 56% | 2–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 35% | 65% | 2–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 35% | 65% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 33% | 67% | 2–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Miami Marlins | 50% | 50% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 64% | 36% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 42% | 58% | 2–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games