Friday · May 15 · 7:10 PM ✦
MARLINS @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
Marlins
2
RAYS
7
Our Pick
TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 2–3 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 2–7 Rays
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Marlins | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Tampa Bay Rays | 42% | 58% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 44% | 56% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 36% | 64% | 2–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Miami Marlins | 53% | 47% | 2–2 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 48% | 52% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Miami Marlins | 61% | 39% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Tampa Bay Rays | 46% | 54% | 2–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Marlins this season
81–74
52% across 155 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games