Monday · May 4 · 6:40 PM ✦
BLUE JAYS @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
Blue Jays
1
RAYS
5
Our Pick
TORONTO BLUE JAYS
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 1–5 Rays
60%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 67% | 33% | 3–2 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Toronto Blue Jays | 67% | 33% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Toronto Blue Jays | 52% | 48% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Toronto Blue Jays | 70% | 30% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Toronto Blue Jays | 60% | 40% | 3–3 | ✗ |
1 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
20–25
44% across 45 games
Rays this season
17–25
40% across 42 games