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Wednesday · May 6 · 1:10 PM ✦

BLUE JAYS @ RAYS

Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none

Final

Blue Jays 0
RAYS 3

Our Pick

TORONTO BLUE JAYS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 0–3 Rays

55%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Blue Jays Rays Projected Result
Baseline Toronto Blue Jays 65% 35% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 60% 40% 3–2
Platoon-weighted Toronto Blue Jays 62% 38% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Toronto Blue Jays 53% 47% 4–4
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 44% 56%
Random Forest Toronto Blue Jays 50% 50%
Consensus Toronto Blue Jays 55% 45% 4–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Blue Jays this season

20–25

44% across 45 games

Rays this season

17–25

40% across 42 games