Tuesday · May 5 · 6:40 pm ✦
BLUE JAYS @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
Blue Jays
3
RAYS
4
Our Pick
TORONTO BLUE JAYS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 Toronto Blue Jays · Actual: 3–4 Rays
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Blue Jays | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Toronto Blue Jays | 69% | 31% | 3–2 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Toronto Blue Jays | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Tampa Bay Rays | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Toronto Blue Jays | 53% | 47% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Toronto Blue Jays | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✗ |
3 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Blue Jays this season
73–82
47% across 155 games
Rays this season
78–80
49% across 158 games