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Sunday · May 3 · 1:40 PM ✦

GIANTS @ RAYS

Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none

Final

Giants 1
RAYS 2

Our Pick

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–2 San Francisco Giants · Actual: 1–2 Rays

63%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Giants Rays Projected Result
Baseline San Francisco Giants 71% 29% 4–2
Pitcher-weighted San Francisco Giants 64% 35% 3–3
Platoon-weighted San Francisco Giants 71% 29% 4–2
Pitcher + Platoon San Francisco Giants 60% 40% 4–2
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 46% 54%
Random Forest San Francisco Giants 68% 32%
Consensus San Francisco Giants 63% 37% 4–2
1 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Giants this season

28–16

64% across 44 games

Rays this season

17–25

40% across 42 games