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Saturday · May 2 · 6:10 PM ✦

GIANTS @ RAYS

Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none

Final

Giants 1
RAYS 5

Our Pick

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 San Francisco Giants · Actual: 1–5 Rays

50%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Giants Rays Projected Result
Baseline San Francisco Giants 56% 44% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted San Francisco Giants 58% 42% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 42% 58% 3–4
Pitcher + Platoon San Francisco Giants 51% 49% 4–4
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 46% 54%
Random Forest San Francisco Giants 51% 49%
Consensus San Francisco Giants 50% 50% 3–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Platoon-weighted and Logistic caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Giants this season

28–16

64% across 44 games

Rays this season

17–25

40% across 42 games