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Saturday · April 25 · 4:10 PM ✦

TWINS @ RAYS

Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none

Final

Twins 1
RAYS 6

Our Pick

MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 1–6 Rays

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Rays Projected Result
Baseline Minnesota Twins 58% 42% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 64% 36% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Minnesota Twins 53% 47% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Minnesota Twins 58% 42% 4–3
Logistic Minnesota Twins 52% 48%
Random Forest Tampa Bay Rays 36% 64%
Consensus Minnesota Twins 52% 48% 4–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

23–24

49% across 47 games

Rays this season

19–25

43% across 44 games