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Sunday · April 26 · 1:40 PM ✦

TWINS @ RAYS

Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none

Final

Twins 2
RAYS 4

Our Pick

MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 2–4 Rays

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Twins Rays Projected Result
Baseline Minnesota Twins 55% 45% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Minnesota Twins 58% 42% 4–4
Platoon-weighted Minnesota Twins 53% 47% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Minnesota Twins 62% 38% 4–3
Logistic Minnesota Twins 55% 45%
Random Forest Tampa Bay Rays 35% 65%
Consensus Minnesota Twins 52% 48% 4–3
1 of 6 sims got it right — Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Twins this season

23–24

49% across 47 games

Rays this season

19–25

43% across 44 games