Friday · April 24 ✦
TWINS @ RAYS
Tropicana Field.
Final
Twins
2
RAYS
6
Our Pick
MINNESOTA TWINS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 Minnesota Twins · Actual: 2–6 Rays
51%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Twins | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Minnesota Twins | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | Minnesota Twins | 51% | 49% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Minnesota Twins | 56% | 44% | 3–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 40% | 60% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Minnesota Twins | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Twins this season
83–72
54% across 155 games
Rays this season
78–81
49% across 159 games