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Wednesday · April 22 · 1:10 PM ✦

REDS @ RAYS

Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, roof closed, wind 0 mph none

Final

Reds 1
RAYS 6

Our Pick

CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 1–6 Rays

53%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Reds Rays Projected Result
Baseline Cincinnati Reds 51% 49% 4–4
Pitcher-weighted Cincinnati Reds 56% 44% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Cincinnati Reds 56% 44% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Cincinnati Reds 56% 44% 4–3
Logistic Cincinnati Reds 50% 50%
Random Forest Cincinnati Reds 52% 48%
Consensus Cincinnati Reds 53% 47% 4–3
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Reds this season

30–16

65% across 46 games

Rays this season

19–25

43% across 44 games