Monday · April 20 · 6:40 pm ✦
REDS @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
REDS
6
Rays
1
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 6–1 Reds
54%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 53% | 47% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 58% | 42% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 56% | 44% | 4–4 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 76% | 24% | 4–2 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 38% | 62% | — | ✗ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 49% | 51% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 54% | 46% | 4–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
30–16
65% across 46 games
Rays this season
19–25
43% across 44 games