Tuesday · April 21 · 6:40 pm ✦
REDS @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
REDS
12
Rays
6
Our Pick
CINCINNATI REDS
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Cincinnati Reds · Actual: 12–6 Reds
56%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Reds | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | Cincinnati Reds | 51% | 49% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Cincinnati Reds | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Cincinnati Reds | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Cincinnati Reds | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Cincinnati Reds | 56% | 44% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Cincinnati Reds | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
All 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Reds this season
30–16
65% across 46 games
Rays this season
19–25
43% across 44 games