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Saturday · April 11 · 6:10 pm ✦

YANKEES @ RAYS

Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none

Final

Yankees 4
RAYS 5

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES, comfortably

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–2 New York Yankees · Actual: 4–5 Rays

66%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Rays Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 76% 24% 4–2
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 60% 40% 4–2
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 69% 31% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 80% 20% 5–3
Logistic New York Yankees 52% 48%
Random Forest New York Yankees 63% 37%
Consensus New York Yankees 66% 34% 4–2
None of the 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

27–20

57% across 47 games

Rays this season

19–25

43% across 44 games