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Friday · April 10 · 7:10 pm ✦

YANKEES @ RAYS

Tropicana Field. · 71 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none

Final

Yankees 3
RAYS 5

Our Pick

NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 New York Yankees · Actual: 3–5 Rays

51%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Yankees Rays Projected Result
Baseline New York Yankees 67% 33% 4–3
Pitcher-weighted New York Yankees 55% 45% 4–4
Platoon-weighted New York Yankees 64% 36% 5–3
Pitcher + Platoon New York Yankees 65% 35% 4–3
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 38% 62%
Random Forest Tampa Bay Rays 31% 69%
Consensus New York Yankees 51% 49% 4–3
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Yankees this season

27–20

57% across 47 games

Rays this season

19–25

43% across 44 games