Sunday · April 12 · 1:40 pm ✦
YANKEES @ RAYS
Tropicana Field. · 72 degrees, dome, wind 0 mph none
Final
Yankees
4
RAYS
5
Our Pick
NEW YORK YANKEES, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 4–3 New York Yankees · Actual: 4–5 Rays
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Yankees | Rays | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | New York Yankees | 60% | 40% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | New York Yankees | 62% | 38% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Platoon-weighted | New York Yankees | 62% | 38% | 5–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | New York Yankees | 64% | 36% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Logistic | Tampa Bay Rays | 44% | 56% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Tampa Bay Rays | 36% | 64% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | New York Yankees | 53% | 47% | 4–3 | ✗ |
2 of 6 sims got it right — Logistic and Random Forest caught what the others missed.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Yankees this season
27–20
57% across 47 games
Rays this season
19–25
43% across 44 games