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Tuesday · April 7 ✦

CUBS @ RAYS

Tropicana Field.

Final

CUBS 9
Rays 2

Our Pick

TAMPA BAY RAYS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 4–3 Tampa Bay Rays · Actual: 9–2 Cubs

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Cubs Rays Projected Result
Baseline Chicago Cubs 55% 45% 3–3
Pitcher-weighted Tampa Bay Rays 35% 65% 3–3
Platoon-weighted Chicago Cubs 55% 45% 4–3
Pitcher + Platoon Chicago Cubs 55% 45% 4–3
Logistic Tampa Bay Rays 37% 63%
Random Forest Chicago Cubs 56% 44%
Consensus Tampa Bay Rays 48% 52% 4–3
4 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Cubs this season

21–26

45% across 47 games

Rays this season

19–25

43% across 44 games