Sunday · September 20 · 1:16 PM ✦
NATIONALS @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium. · 81 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 1 mph out to lf
Final
Nationals
3
CARDINALS
5
Our Pick
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 3–3 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 3–5 Cardinals
53%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | St. Louis Cardinals | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher-weighted | St. Louis Cardinals | 45% | 55% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | St. Louis Cardinals | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | St. Louis Cardinals | 44% | 56% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Logistic | St. Louis Cardinals | 45% | 55% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Washington Nationals | 64% | 36% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | St. Louis Cardinals | 47% | 53% | 3–3 | ✓ |
5 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Cardinals this season
89–66
57% across 155 games