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Saturday · September 19 · 6:15 pm ✦

NATIONALS @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 94 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph r to l

Final

NATIONALS 8
Cardinals 5

Our Pick

WASHINGTON NATIONALS, narrowly

✓ Correct

Projected: 3–3 Washington Nationals · Actual: 8–5 Nationals

54%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Nationals Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline St. Louis Cardinals 47% 51% 2–3 ✗
Pitcher-weighted Washington Nationals 67% 33% 3–2 ✓
Platoon-weighted Washington Nationals 53% 47% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher + Platoon Washington Nationals 51% 49% 3–3 ✓
Logistic Washington Nationals 52% 48% — ✓
Random Forest Washington Nationals 57% 43% — ✓
Consensus Washington Nationals 54% 45% 3–3 ✓
5 of 6 sims got it right.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Nationals this season

85–70

55% across 155 games

Cardinals this season

89–66

57% across 155 games