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Wednesday · September 16 · 12:17 PM ✦

GIANTS @ CARDINALS

Busch Stadium. · 91 degrees, cloudy, wind 4 mph in from rf

Final

GIANTS 6
Cardinals 5

Our Pick

ST. LOUIS CARDINALS, narrowly

✗ Wrong

Projected: 3–3 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 6–5 Giants

52%

Consensus

— Simulation Breakdown —

Simulation Pick Giants Cardinals Projected Result
Baseline San Francisco Giants 51% 49% 3–3 ✓
Pitcher-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 33% 64% 2–4 ✗
Platoon-weighted St. Louis Cardinals 47% 53% 3–4 ✗
Pitcher + Platoon St. Louis Cardinals 47% 53% 3–3 ✗
Logistic St. Louis Cardinals 50% 50% — ✗
Random Forest San Francisco Giants 65% 35% — ✓
Consensus St. Louis Cardinals 48% 52% 3–3 ✗
2 of 6 sims got it right — Baseline and Random Forest caught what the others missed.

— How We've Done On These Teams —

Giants this season

89–65

58% across 154 games

Cardinals this season

89–66

57% across 155 games