Friday · September 18 · 7:15 pm ✦
NATIONALS @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium. · 90 degrees, partly cloudy, wind 5 mph in from lf
Final
NATIONALS
9
Cardinals
1
Our Pick
ST. LOUIS CARDINALS, narrowly
✗ WrongProjected: 3–3 St. Louis Cardinals · Actual: 9–1 Nationals
50%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Nationals | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | St. Louis Cardinals | 42% | 58% | 3–4 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Washington Nationals | 51% | 49% | 3–4 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | Washington Nationals | 55% | 45% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Washington Nationals | 56% | 44% | 3–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Washington Nationals | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | St. Louis Cardinals | 43% | 57% | — | ✗ |
| Consensus | St. Louis Cardinals | 50% | 50% | 3–3 | ✗ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Nationals this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Cardinals this season
89–66
57% across 155 games