Sunday · August 30 · 1:16 PM ✦
PIRATES @ CARDINALS
Busch Stadium. · 92 degrees, sunny, wind 9 mph out to lf
Final
PIRATES
5
Cardinals
4
Our Pick
PITTSBURGH PIRATES, narrowly
✓ CorrectProjected: 4–3 Pittsburgh Pirates · Actual: 5–4 Pirates
52%
Consensus
— Simulation Breakdown —
| Simulation | Pick | Pirates | Cardinals | Projected | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baseline | St. Louis Cardinals | 47% | 53% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher-weighted | Pittsburgh Pirates | 56% | 44% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Platoon-weighted | St. Louis Cardinals | 49% | 51% | 4–3 | ✗ |
| Pitcher + Platoon | Pittsburgh Pirates | 58% | 42% | 4–3 | ✓ |
| Logistic | Pittsburgh Pirates | 50% | 50% | — | ✓ |
| Random Forest | Pittsburgh Pirates | 51% | 49% | — | ✓ |
| Consensus | Pittsburgh Pirates | 52% | 48% | 4–3 | ✓ |
4 of 6 sims got it right.
— How We've Done On These Teams —
Pirates this season
85–70
55% across 155 games
Cardinals this season
89–66
57% across 155 games